33: The Lindy Effect
November 12, 2016
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The Lindy Effect is a theory concerning the lifespan of certain types of ‘non-perishable’ objects. Examples of objects which can be interpreted as displaying the Lindy Effect include ‘ideas’ and ‘technologies’.
The main idea is that for such objects, rather than the future life expectancy of an object decreasing with past life length, as would be the case with human life in most circumstances, the future life expectancy instead increases as the object has been around for longer. In other words, the mortality rate/likelihood of death of the object decreases as it ages, rather than increasing: the longer the object has existed, the longer it’s likely to continue existing.